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The Future of the Brazilian Wind Energy Market

21 de noviembre de 2009

Brazil is now looking to diversify its energy portfolio by inviting bids for wind projects. The Brazilian government plans to hold its first wind tender, and continue with auctions every year to promote wind power.

The Future of the Brazilian Wind Energy Market

Next month, Brazil will hold its first wind-only energy auction, in a move to diversify its energy portfolio. Foreign companies are scrambling to take part.

Brazil’s wind tender rate has been set at ceiling of R$189 ($110) per megawatt hour, below some developer expectations, but in line with previous government indications

The 14 December tender has already been deemed an overwhelming success thanks to the more than 13-gigawatts (GW) worth of wind power registered in 441 individual farms But it is unclear how many projects can be competitive at the newly announced rate.

While developers had been seeking a rate above R$200, the price does not come as a surprise since Mauricio Tolmasquim, head of the energy research centre, EPE, has on various occasions said it would be under R$200.

The rate is far below what has been paid for wind power through Brazil’s renewable energy incentive programme, Proinfa , where prices range from R$220 to R$270. Winning companies will receive 20-year contracts and farms will have to come on line by July 2012.

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The government aims to attract a newly-added capacity of 1000 MW annually for six to ten years through yearly tenders. However, the mandate for sourcing 60% of a project’s value-add from within the country, high import taxes, high infrastructure building costs and tight financing conditions are expected to restrain the wind market growth.

Brazil is most likely to miss the government’s target of achieving 5000 MW of installed capacity by 2015. The wind market in Brazil is expected to grow from 542 MW in 2009 to 2500 MW by 2015 at a CAGR of 29% and save 510,625 tons of carbon emissions annually by 2015.

Wind power projects that win Brazil’s upcoming tender in December will be exempt from paying two types of federal taxes, potentially giving developers a competitive boost in the tight race. Farms will be exempt for five years from paying the PIS/Cofins taxes, which can be up to 9.2% on revenues, as part of the special incentive regime for infrastructure development.

More than 13-gigawatts (GW) worth of wind power have been registered for the 14 December tender, the country’s first for wind. Previously, wind power had been promoted through the government’s renewable energy incentive programme, Proinfa, which paid upwards of R$220 ($128) per megawatt hour (MWh) and should result in the construction on 1.400 MW.

Brazil has about 600 megawatts (MW) of wind power on line today, the great majority of which was built through Proinfa. The forthcoming tender, for which 441 individual farms have registered, is expected to pay under R$200 per MWh and is offering 20-year contracts.

Power from the wind tender will be paid for directly by consumers, who will see an additional fee added onto their electric bills as of July 2012, which is when the energy is due to come on line. The energy research centre, EPE , has also announced a requirement for winning farms to measure winds at their sites and provide them to the government in order to create a database for studies on wind power.

The auction has attracted a number of international players including the local units of Energias de Portugal, Electricité de France, Spain’s Iberdrola, EnerFin of the United States and several Brazilian firms. Interest has been so great, in fact, that the Ministry of Mines and Energy, which is conducting the auction, postponed it by three weeks to allow extra time to evaluate the preliminary bids.

Government and industry anticipated proposals for between 4.5 gigawatts and 6 gigawatts of projects, but they came to the number of 13.3 gigawatts from 441 proposals.

Brazil counts on hydroelectricity for more than three-quarters of its electricity needs, but authorities are now pushing biomass and wind as primary alternatives. Wind energy’s greatest potential in Brazil is during the dry season, so it is considered a hedge against low rainfall and the geographical spread of existing hydro resources.

“In Brazil, wind is very complimentary to hydro,” said João Carlos Mello, the chief executive of Andrade & Canellas, an energy consulting firm advising some bidders in the wind power auction. “It’s clear that we need to open up our minds beyond hydro.”

Mr. Mello said Brazil’s technical potential for wind energy is 143 gigawatts due to the country’s blustery 4,600-mile long coastline, where most projects are based. The Brazilian Wind Energy Association and the government have set a goal of achieving 10 gigawatts of wind energy capacity by 2020 from the current 605 megawatts — with another 450 megawatts now under construction, said Mr. Perrelli.

Based on the calculations made by CEPEL (Energy Research Center), the wind potential of Brazil is bigger than 250.000 MW. This is almost two times more than the calculations made in 2001 with the potential 143.000 MW. The new calculation will be based on the wind potential in the altitude of 90-100 meters above the surface, due there are some equipments operating in those altitudes.


www.aarkstore.com/reports/The-Future-of-the-Brazilian-Wind-Energy-Market-21618.html

www.abeeolica.org.br/zpublisher/secoes/home.asp

www.cepel.br/


Subvencionado por:

Plan Nacional de I+D+I 2008-2011

Plan Nacional de Investigación Científica, Desarrollo e Innovación Tecnológica, 2008-2011

Acción Estratégica de Energía y Cambio Climático - Expediente Nº ECC-590000-2008-141

Aviso Legal
Diseño web Codarfel 2009